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    Crisis Dashboard

    Real-time scenario-driven risk monitoring across five domains

    Global Systemic Risk Index

    baseline
    moderate
    severe
    28Elevated
    rates30
    inflation25
    unemployment20
    Credit Spreads35

    Sources: IMF Global Financial Stability Report, BIS Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve data.

    Real Estate Risk Index

    baseline
    moderate
    severe
    36Elevated
    pti40
    affordability35
    inventory30
    vacancy45
    maturity50
    bank C R E35
    private Credit25
    insurance20

    9-component weighted index. Sources: OECD housing metrics, Fed Financial Stability Report.

    CRE Maturity Wall Timeline

    Estimated CRE loan maturities by year. Peak refinancing pressure in 2026. Source: Mortgage Bankers Association, Trepp.

    Regional Bank Exposure Meter

    baseline
    moderate
    severe
    48Overheated
    CRE-to-Assets Ratio35%
    Capital Ratio10%

    FDIC concentration guidance: CRE above 300% of capital triggers enhanced scrutiny. Source: FDIC, Federal Reserve.

    Funding Stress Monitor

    baseline
    moderate
    severe
    28Elevated
    Interbank Spread30
    Repo Rate Deviation25
    Commercial Paper Contraction20
    Private Credit Drawdown35

    Sources: Federal Reserve, DTCC repo data, Federal Reserve Commercial Paper database.

    Household Stress Indicator

    baseline
    moderate
    severe
    57Overheated
    Debt-to-Income Ratio40%
    Personal Savings Rate4%
    Insurance Premium Growth30%

    Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Federal Reserve Consumer Credit data.

    This dashboard is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. All scores are scenario-driven estimates, not predictions. Consult qualified professionals before making financial decisions.